Imagine a week with a huge launch—that of The Pollsters podcast! Oh, and Ted Cruz’s presidential campaign.
Nobody’s Cruzin’ to victory
Texas Senator Ted Cruz announced this week. Cruz has been unpopular ever since he’s been in the public eye. But, if you look at the other potential candidates—they’re all either unpopular, too, or with just even favorable and unfavorable. You can view them all easily in one place at Huffington Post/Pollster.
You know who is popular though? Television presidents. Ipsos/Reuters shows basically they all have incredible favorables—even murderer Frank Underwood. So now we know what it takes to be a popular president—to be a figment of someone’s imagination.
Clinton & her lady-powers
So, you may have heard that Hillary Clinton may run for President, and that she may benefit from this little thing we call the gender gap. Gallup breaks this down some really helpful crosstabs. Our pet peeve is people making generalizations about gender without looking at gender by party to see what’s really going on. However, Gallup shows there actually is a gender effect, because women are more favorable toward Clinton across different demographics groups.
What do voters want anyway?
If the only popular presidents are fictional, what are people actually looking for> CNN/ORC tries to figure it out in their latest poll. The crosstabs are essential here, because there are major party differences here. What Republicans want is someone who can win, who is financially successful executive who says religion should play a big role in policy—regardless of whether they’re newer to the scene or not. Maybe that sounds like Jeb Bush?
There’s nothing as certain as death, taxes, & polling
Pew released a poll showing deep dissatisfaction with our tax system. What’s interesting is mostly bipartisan concern that the wealthy and corporations aren’t paying their fair share. This is far more bothersome than what people pay themselves. It’s not their own bill, but the sense that someone is getting a better deal than they are. And while of course there are partisan differences, it’s not quite as dramatic as you might think when it comes to something like taxes.
The wild, worldly web
Do people call it the World Wide Web anymore? Pew looks at views toward the Internet, worldwide, and found both fairly mostly positive views and pretty interesting differences across countries. Most people around the world say the Internet is mostly a good influence, except when it comes to morality. Maybe concerns about morality stem from how people are chiefly using the Internet—for social networking far more than for shopping. Although there are big differences across countries—the Chinese are more likely to shop online than others. Those online in India and Bangladesh are more likely to look for jobs than people elsewhere.
The May UK election is heating up, and we promise to cover it again and in more detail. But it seems like the Scottish National Party is making waves, Labour has lost ground, and no matter who is the final top vote-getter the final coalition is what matters. There is a good data roundup at The Huffington Post.
We like new, interesting methodologies, but also old interesting methodologies. Take the Doyle poll in Vermont. It’s a canvass conducted during all-day town meetings. But get this—people can vote more than once. Academics have come out against the poll, but the poll’s creator—State Senator William Doyle—stands up for it.
Peeps and Cadbury eggs for everyone!
Good news for the makers of bad candy, plastic eggs & green dresses—people will be spending more on average than they did last year–about $140 on Easter stuff, which mostly means food. This comes from the folks at the National Retail Federation. This is consistent with what we learned last week about greater spending on weddings.
Wicked drop in poll numbers for the 2024 Olympics
While in the throes of record snow, Bostonians are showing less and less support for the Olympics coming to their city. People are wondering if this is really just weather-related. Or if people are starting to think about the actual ramifications of the Olympics coming. Folks behind the 2024 bid are now saying they won’t move forward if there isn’t majority support.
- Ted Cruz begins his candidacy unpopular, but so do many others—unless you’re on TV.
- Clinton does well with women, across the board, thanks to crucial breakouts from Gallup.
- Republicans seem to say in theory, they want a candidate like Jeb Bush.
- Tax fairness is more concerning to voters across the board than their own tax bill. We’ll see how that changes on April 15.
- The Internet can be for shopping, social networking, job hunting, or politics, depending greatly on where you live.
- Easter spending is up, which is good news for the economy, bad news for bunnies and lambs.
- You can call anything a poll! Just ask Vermont state senator Doyle.
- Boston, however, is taking it’s polling very seriously, at least when it comes to the Olympics.
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